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Jingdong book

锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴（2011年）（下卷）

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Jingdong book

锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴（2011年）（下卷）

Name: 锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴（2011年）（下卷）
Brand: Jingdong book
SKU: 3110067091
Price: 326.86 USD
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1986年，一支由菲利普·查尔曼和让一路易·贡博率领的研究团队推出首部《锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴》，当时刚刚经历了石油价格暴跌以及咖啡和锡国际协议解除。原材料和大宗商品价格即将陷入将近20年的低迷，与此同时金融市场迅猛上涨，世界也将进入以信息技术为核心的第三次工业革命。
第25部《锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴》发布之际，时事已经大为不同。无论是从谷物到有色金属，还是从棉花到艺术品的多数大宗商品市场都创下了新的价格纪录。
《锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴》是由一支包括50多名专家的国际团队撰写而成的，这支团队由巴黎第九大学教授菲利普·查尔曼领导。年鉴以法文、英文和中文三种语言出版，合作伙伴包括大宗商品领域的30余家企业。

Content Description

第二次世界大战后，欧洲各殖民帝国在民族独立的背景下相继瓦解，苏联亦解体；经过“勤勉革命”后再次迅速崛起的日本渐渐进入停滞；作为“超级强国” （Hyperpuissance）、信息时代下的“非传统帝国”的美国的单级领导地位受到挑战。美国在利益与责任中前行。在全球化加速的背景下，随着欧盟的出现以及中国与印度的发展，新的竞争格局形成，美国的世界中心地位出现动摇。多元文化、语言、科技、金融等支持着承继西方文明的美国。
21世纪初，集装箱船与互联网推动的全球化再一次提速，随着人员交流大幅增加、资本的流动以及持续进行的城市化，人类文明历史上的全球化达到最高潮并以多文明相互交流的形式继续发展——西方文明仍在停滞之中，历史似乎已经终结抑或历史似乎不可知；再次以传统大一统形式出现的中华文明以及深受西方文明影响的重新统一的印度文明又能否重新发展，历史是否仍将轮回？在21世纪的千年未有之变局中将见证文明与国家的兴衰。
与800年前西方文明逐渐崛起时不断变革的大宗商品市场相同，后殖民时代的大宗商品世界的“游戏规则的改变”反映了世界以及世界经济的变迁，同时也对公司、金融机构、国家以及人类文明的发展不断提出挑战。

Comments

“我相信《锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴》中涉及的金融、农产品、热带产品、矿产品、能源和服务业等诸多领域将会对于从事相关领域研究的中国读者和救民于水火人士有所助益。”
——帕斯卡尔·拉米（Pascal LAMY）世界贸易组织总干事

“希望《锡瑞镨世界大宗商品市场年鉴》中文版能为大宗商品研究提供资料和方法、思路的支持。”
——常清中车农业大学中国期货与金融衍生品研究中心主任

Catalogue

专家译著委员会
推荐序重视大宗商品的研究
中文版主编序千年未有之变局及后殖民时代的大宗商品世界
原作者
前言
合作机构

第二部分全球市场
2010-2011年世界大宗商品市场概述与2012年展望：大宗商品价格危机持续
Ⅰ 金融市场
利率市场和外汇市场
零利率政策、量化宽松和“欧猪国家”：市场的新术语
美元的价值受到市场质疑
股票市场
大宗商品衍生品市场
Ⅱ 农业政策、粮食和温带农产品
饥饿的世界
农业的不稳定性：问题、历史回顾与展望以及解决方案
第三世界放弃了农业政策
欧盟共同农业政策和美国农业法案
谷物
稻米
油料作物
肉类
奶和奶制品
马铃薯
温带水果和蔬菜
浓缩苹果汁
坚果
葡萄酒
棉花
羊毛
成品革和原皮
烟草
Ⅲ 热带农产品
热带农产品价格报复性上涨
糖
咖啡：丰厚的利润
可可：动荡的一年
茶
棕榈油
胡椒和香料
香蕉
菠萝
热带水果
柑橘和橙汁
橡胶
黄麻
剑麻和硬质纤维
温带木材
热带木材
Ⅳ 水产品
Ⅴ 矿石和金属
2010年世界采矿业：黑暗尽头的曙光
铁矿石、废钢和钢
主要有色金属
铝
铜
锡
镍
铅
锌
小金属：稀有性越发显现
锑
砷
……
后记

Book Abstract

美元的昙花一现
美元在春季里璀璨绽放，随即在质疑中飘摇零落。在2009年冬季以及2010年春季，美国股市和国民经济稳定复苏的形势，推动美元大幅升值。由于经济前景有望复苏，以及预期股市风险将进一步加剧，各种各样的国际资本被纷纷吸引而来；此外，美国公司的产权投资和发行新股，助长了对美元的需求。从年初的美元兑欧元1.05、兑日元1.4 5，一直小幅波动至5月，美元保持着相对稳定；在春季结束的时候，欧元区各国间的关系日趋紧张，很多来自美国和欧洲的经济界人士在16国会议期间都在谈论共同货币分崩瓦解的话题（截至2011年1月17日，这仍然是个热门话题），美元兑欧元出现大幅波动。另一方面，当欧洲政界证明能够尽快找到解决欧洲债务危机办法的时候，美元很快从高位滑下。此外，美联储为刺激经济将坚持货币扩张政策，第二波量化宽松政策指日可待（最终于11月推出），以及奥巴马政府采取的强硬税收和预算手段，严重伤害了美元。美国增发国债，同时，债务问题广泛涉及各州，城市和区域性社区，推动许多投资者放弃投资美元转向其他货币。鉴于对欧元和英镑的疑虑，日元以及大宗商品生产国的货币成为热门。美元在未来的基础性作用问题，促使一些国家的中央银行和长期投资者开始考虑美元的分散投资边际。这些持续性、系统性的抛售不断加入美元区的“渗漏”，相比其他货币，美元提供的回报非常低。中期选举在漫长的等待中出炉，毫无悬念的结果为美元一路向下的轨迹添加了另一个动力。实际上，奥巴马政府两年来始终住在镀金的笼子里，对外界事务无可奈何；2010年中期选举之后，此间的许多举措遭到共和党多数代表以及众议院的反对。年终的时候，相对于其他主要货币，美元在疲软的气氛中谢幕，虽然流向美国的资本仍居高不下。另一方面，贸易平衡作为结构性赤字的组成部分之一，成为悬在货币的未来以及国家债务头上的一把达摩克利斯之剑。
……

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