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宏观经济学(第十二版)/经济科学译丛

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宏观经济学(第十二版)/经济科学译丛

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本书是**本将理性预期假说纳入菲利普斯曲线进行分析的宏观经济学教科书。全书以经济周期、失业和通货膨胀作为开端,以2007—2008年全球经济危机为主线,将宏观经济分析紧紧地围绕着世界经济中**发生的重大现实问题,前后贯穿起来,并将20世纪30年代的大危机与之进行对照分析,清晰地解释了经济危机发生的原因以及与之相关的争议话题。最后作者将落脚点放在目前两大经济学派对现实宏观问题的争论上,突出了经济学发展的新进展以及重大理论课题。
本书具有以下几个特点:
(1)为保证经济学内容的完整与连贯性,正文中很少有冗繁、复杂的数学推导,必要时在注释或附录中做了说明。
(2)注重理论对现实的解释,进行了大量的实证研究,当理论与现实拟合得不够理想时,作者充分分析了具体原因。
(3)注重对宏观经济政策的分析,引导读者更加关注对理论的应用。
本书适宜做经济学专业或其他财经专业的本科高年级或研究生教材之用,也适用于从事经济学教学与研究的人员阅读参考。


Author Description

罗伯特·J`戈登,1967年获得麻省理工学院博士学位,现为美国西北大学社会科学和经济学教授。曾任教于哈佛大学和芝加哥大学。戈登教授是研究通货膨胀、失业、生产力和经济增长以及航空经济学的著名专家,是美国国家经济研究局经济周期测定委员会的成员。他发表了100多篇学术文章;其代表性著作为《宏观经济学》,该书**次将理性预期假说纳入菲利普斯曲线进行分析。

Catalogue

第1部分 引言与度量

第1章 什么是宏观经济学

1.1宏观经济学怎样影响我们的日常生活

1.2宏观经济学的定义

1.3现实的与自然的实际GDP

1.4短期与长期的宏观经济学

第2章 收入、价格与失业的测度

2.1我们为什么关心收入?

2.2收入与支出的循环流量

2.3 GDP是什么?GDP不是什么?

2.4支出的构成因素

2.5魔术方程和双赤字

2.6家庭收入来自何处

2.7名义GDP、实际GDP和GDP平减指数

2.8失业的测算

第2章附录 我们怎样测算实际GDP与通货膨胀率

第2部分 短期:经济周期和政策反应

第3章 收入与利率:凯恩斯交叉图模型和IS曲线

3.1经济周期与收入决定论

3.2收入决定、失业与价格水平

3.3计划支出

3.4经济中均衡的收入与支出

3.5乘数效应

3.6计划支出移动的原因

3.7货币政策如何影响计划支出

3.8自发性计划支出与利率之间的关系

3.9 IS曲线

3.10 结论:迷失的关系

第3章附录 允许所得税与所得独立于净出口


第4章 在IS-LM模型中政策的强弱影响

4.1引言:货币和财政政策的力量

4.2收入、利率与货币需求

4.3 LM曲线

4.4 IS曲线与LM曲线相交

4.5货币政策的应用

4.6财政扩张怎样挤出私人投资

4.7货币政策的强弱影响

4.8财政政策的强弱影响

4.9财政和货币政策的混合使用

第4章附录 IS-LM模型的基本代数分析

第5章 金融市场、金融管制与经济稳定

5.1引言:金融市场与宏观经济学

5.2案例研究:全球经济危机的维度

5.3金融机构、资产负债表和杠杆

5.4屡见不鲜的故事:泡沫与破裂

5.5金融创新和次级抵押市场

5.6 IS-LM模型、金融市场和货币政策困境

5.7联储的新工具:量化宽松

5.8危机如何向世界扩展以及政策制定者的困境

第6章 政府预算、政府债务和财政政策的局限

6.1引言:财政政策能将货币政策拯救出无效的泥潭吗?

6.2政府预算的广泛影响

6.3案例研究:历史镜像中的政府预算

6.4自动稳定与斟酌使用的财政政策

6.5政府债务的基本概念

6.6政府有偿还能力吗?

6.7案例研究:1790年以后的债务—GDP比率的历史盘点

6.8影响财政刺激乘数效应的因素

6.9案例研究:2008—2011年的财政刺激

6.10政府支出和向州与地方政府的转移支付

6.11结论:财政政策的优势与局限性

第7章 国际贸易、汇率和宏观经济政策

7.1引言

7.2经常账户与国际收支平衡表

7.3汇率

7.4外汇市场

7.5实际汇率与购买力平价

7.6汇率体制

7.7案例研究: 亚洲购买美元和为美国经常账户赤字
融资的大幅干预能持续多久?

7.8净出口的决定因素

7.9实际汇率和利率

7.10固定与浮动汇率制下的货币与财政政策的影响

7.11结论:开放经济中的经济政策

第3部分 价格水平、通货膨胀与失业

第8章 总需求、总供给与大萧条

8.1总需求与总供给的结合

8.2可变价格与AD曲线

8.3货币与财政政策造成的总需求曲线的移动

8.4短期总供给曲线的形状

8.5名义工资率不变时的短期总供给曲线

8.6短期与长期的财政和货币扩张

8.7古典宏观经济学:货币数量论和自我调节的经济

8.8凯恩斯革命:自我调节的失败

8.9案例研究:什么引发了大萧条?

第9章 通货膨胀:成因与治理

9.1引言

9.2实际GDP、通货膨胀率和短期菲利普斯曲线

9.3预期的调整

9.4名义GDP增长和通货膨胀

9.5名义GDP增长加速的影响

9.6预期和通货膨胀周期

9.7衰退——一种治理通货膨胀的方法

9.8供给冲击的重要性

9.9通货膨胀和产出比对供给冲击的反应

9.10通货膨胀与产出的波动:重述其原因与治理

9.11失业率怎样与通货膨胀率联系在一起?

第9章附录 SP-DG模型的基本数学表示

第10章 稳定政策的目标:低通货膨胀和低失业

10.1通货膨胀的成本和原因

10.2货币与通货膨胀

10.3为什么通货膨胀是有害的?

10.4指数化与其他降低通货膨胀成本的改革措施

10.5政府预算约束和通货膨胀税

10.6恶性通货膨胀的开始与终结

10.7失业率无法降为零的原因

10.8结构性失业的起因

10.9流动性失业与工作搜寻

10.10持续高失业率的成本

10.11结论:失业与通货膨胀困境的解决方法

第4部分 长期:经济增长、成功与失败

第11章 经济增长理论

11.1经济增长的重要性

11.2经济增长对生活水平的影响

11.3生产函数与经济增长

11.4索洛的经济增长理论

11.5理论层面与实践层面的技术

11.6索洛理论无法解释的难题

11.7人力资本、移民与索洛难题

11.8内生增长理论:技术变革是怎样产生的?

11.9存在经济增长的秘密吗?

第11章附录 一般函数形式与生产函数

第12章 经济增长的重要问题

12.1回答重要问题

12.2生活水平和生产率的概念

12.3趋同的失败

12.4人力资本与技术

12.5政治资本、基础设施与地理条件

12.6案例研究:不同时期美国不平稳的经济增长

12.7欧洲与美国之间生产率增长的对比

12.8增长中一些重要问题的结论

第5部分 货币政策与稳定的源泉

第13章 货币、银行和美国联邦储备

13.1货币政策:稳定经济的工具

13.2货币的定义

13.3高能货币和货币供给的决定因素

13.4美联储改变货币供给的三大工具

13.5货币需求理论

13.6美联储为什么要设定利率?

第14章 货币政策的目标、工具和规则

14.1需求冲击的主要作用

14.2积极行动主义者的稳定目标和工具

14.3政策规则

14.4政策缺陷:滞后和不确定性

14.5案例研究:美联储对1986—2007年的“大稳健”
时期负责吗?

14.6时间不一致、可信度和声誉

14.7案例研究:泰勒规则和美联储对通货膨胀及产出
不断变化的态度

14.8规则和相机抉择比较:一个评价

14.9案例研究:货币政策应该以汇率为目标吗?

第15章 消费行为经济学

15.1消费和经济稳定

15.2案例研究:美国消费数据的主要特点

15.3背景:时间序列和截面证据之间的冲突

15.4前瞻型预期行为:恒久收入假说

15.5前瞻型预期行为:生命周期假说

15.6理性预期以及其他对简单前瞻型预期理论的修正

15.7遗产和不确定性

15.8案例研究:家庭资产的涨跌导致了家庭储蓄率的
下降和上升吗?

15.9为何官方的家庭储蓄数据是误导性的?

15.10结论:消费是否稳定经济?

第16章 投资行为经济学

16.1投资和经济稳定性

16.2案例研究:投资的历史不稳定性

16.3净投资的加速器假说

16.4案例研究:简单的加速器和美国战后经济

16.5灵活加速器理论

16.6投资行为的新古典理论

16.7使用成本和货币及财政政策的作用

16.8企业信心和投机

16.9投资——产出和利率不稳定的源头

16.10投资——不稳定的源头

第6部分 宏观经济思想的演化

第17章 新古典宏观和新凯恩斯宏观经济学

17.1引言:新旧古典经济学和凯恩斯经济学

17.2不完全信息和“愚弄模型”

17.3卢卡斯模型和政策无效性命题

17.4实际经济周期模型

17.5新古典宏观经济学:缺陷及其积极贡献

17.6新凯恩斯主义经济学的必备特征

17.7为什么微弱的名义刚性有巨大的宏观作用?

17.8协调失灵和指数化

17.9经济周期根源:长期劳动合同

17.10凯恩斯模型演变成DSGE模型

第18章 结论:我们的立场

18.1事件和思想的演变

18.2 1923—1947年思想对事件的反应

18.3 1947—1969年思想对事件的反应

18.4 1970—2010年思想对事件的反应

18.5世界经济中思想对事件的反应

18.6宏观谜题:未解决的问题和争论

术语表

译后记

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