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Jingdong book

趋势技术分析

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Jingdong book

趋势技术分析

Name: 趋势技术分析
Brand: Jingdong book
SKU: 3111001701
Price: 20.07 USD
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趋势的内容可以称之为基础中的基础，纲领中的纲领，是包括K线技术分析、均线技术分析、趋势线技术分析、量价技术分析等各种分析理论在内的，所有趋势技术分析理论的源泉和根本。趋势线、支撑线、压力线和通道的技术分析应用，具有很强的实战实用性。

本书有如下特点：
（1）理论性强，溯本求源，层层深入，像寻幽访古，未知的东西太多。
（2）原则性强，是其他技术分析理论的纲领和基础。
（3）比较抽象，无论是趋势理论，还是趋势线的技术应用，都有很强的概括性。化繁为简后，结果变得简单明了，但原因和过程就略显晦涩。

Content Description

Author Description

邱立波，江苏徐州人，毕业于南京大学。自由职业者，资深股民。在股市中经历大起大落，形成独树一帜的交易风格和交易系统。擅长技术分析，实战经验丰富。著有《K线技术分析》、《均线技术分析》。

Catalogue

第一章道氏理论和技术分析
第一节道氏理论
一、道氏理论概述
二、道氏理论的主要内容
三、道氏理论的适用范围
第二节技术分析
一、技术分析概述和分类
二、技术分析兼具科学和艺术特性
三、市场行为包括技术分析行为和基本分析行为本身在内
四、技术分析理论基础的三大假设都是客观存在的事实
五、市场以趋势的方式演化，趋势具有惯性
六、趋势的哲学理论基础：易经和道德经
七、历史会重演
第二章趋势
第一节趋势理论的基本内容
一、道氏理论和波浪理论关于趋势的概述
二、长期趋势（基本趋势）
三、中期趋势（调整趋势）
四、短期趋势（短期波动）
五、趋势操纵
六、趋势是技术交易和价值交易（投资）得以存在的基础
七、技术交易和价值交易相互独立又相互依存
八、技术交易和价值交易看待趋势的视角不同
九、市场行为（趋势、股价或指数）的对与错
十、预测和交易的关系
十一、顺势而为（市场行为本无对错，交易行为必有顺逆）
第二节趋势交易的类型
一、左侧交易（预测交易）和右侧交易（顺势交易）概述
二、判断和预测
三、左侧交易、右侧交易的原则、方法及其异同
四、趋势的时空量度和交易周期
五、左侧交易和右侧交易实战应用注意事项
六、交易周期和仓位（资金）管理
七、混沌交易（概率交易、跟随交易）
第三章趋势线
第一节趋势线的基础知识
一、趋势线的画法
二、趋势线的分类
三、趋势线是道氏理论、技术分析理论三大假设和波浪理论的综合反映
四、不同坐标下趋势线的应用
五、不同坐标系下趋势线的运用
六、趋势线的修正
七、趋势线突破
第二节趋势线的技术应用
一、趋势线确定进出场的标准
二、进场点的确定
三、离场点的确定
第四章支撑线和压力线
第一节支撑线和压力线概述
一、支撑线和压力线的概念
二、支撑线和压力线的分类
三、支撑线与压力线的转化
四、支撑线、压力线与趋势线的转化
第二节支撑线和压力线的技术应用
一、支撑线的技术应用
二、压力线的技术应用
第五章通道
第一节上升通道
一、上升通道的技术特征
二、上升通道的画法
三、上升通道的技术含义
第二节下降通道
一、下降通道的技术特征
二、下降通道的画法
三、下降通道的技术含义
第三节通道修正
第四节通道逆推
一、通道逆推
二、通道逆推的技术应用
第六章趋势线的综合运用
第一节趋势线、通道、技术图形、支撑线和压力线的区别和应用
一、概述
二、趋势线、通道、技术图形、支撑线和压力线的综合应用
第二节泰禾集团（000732）案例分析
一、概述
二、确定进场点
三、加减仓和持股
四、清仓和持币

Book Abstract

一、道氏理论概述
道氏理论是所有市场技术分析和研究的鼻祖，却因为其存在滞后性而被很多技术分析人士忽视，甚至还有很多人认为，道氏理论不具备对交易的实战指导作用。这是一个很奇怪的现象，因为几乎大多数交易者都相信，真正有效的交易理论和方法应该是“大道至简”的，却对道氏理论——这个真正纯粹而又简单的技术分析理论，予以忽略和忽视，似乎道氏理论存在的价值，仅仅是鼻祖而已。
道氏是不是第一个在交易中运用市场趋势变化判断和预测未来走势的交易者，无从考证。但如果说是道氏首次将趋势技术分析理论化并上升到哲学高度，估计持有异议的人不会太多。尽管道氏理论的哲学思想只是片言只语，但自道氏之后，技术分析理论体系日趋完备，现行仍享有盛誉且广为流行的K线理论、均线理论、波浪理论、指标技术分析理论以及机械式交易理论等，其基础无不来源于道氏理论。
道氏理论基础和核心内容主要有以下三点：（1）市场的平均指数包容和消化一切因素和信息，除了上帝的行为；（2）平均价格指数由三种趋势构成；（3）确认（确定）趋势。
“市场的平均指数包容和消化一切因素和信息，除了上帝的行为”，这句话用现行的技术分析理论表述就是：市场的价格或指数包容和消化一切因素和信息。
这一内容最重要的意义在于确立了一切技术分析理论，包括趋势技术分析理论在内，应当只以且仅仅只以价格或指数的变化，作为一切研究、分析、判断和交易的核心，乃至于全部。
其中的关键点和内在逻辑如下：价格或指数是交易趋势的载体，交易趋势是市行为（即市场内所有交易行为）的最终结果，市场行为是市场内所有交易者在综合研判所有因素和信息后，实际所付诸的行动。因此，一切因素和信息的影响，均体现在价格或指数的变化上。研究价格或指数的变化，就是研究市场内所有因素和信息对趋势当下以及未来的影响。
这也是道氏理论与现行很多技术交易分析理论相比，内容更加贴近市场，结论更加可靠和稳定的原因。道氏理论体系始于市场行为，终于市场行为，整个过程完完全全基于市场行为本身的状态，从未有半点偏离，真正做到了老子所谓的“道法自然”。“自然”，也即自己（自身）本来的样子。

……

Introduction

《趋势技术分析》是趋势技术交易系列丛书的第三册，内容主要分为两大部分。
第一大部分是趋势，着重讲解趋势理论的来源、特点、基本内容和原则，以及趋势理论的哲学和人性基础、趋势
交易的类型和异同。这一部分内容可以称之为基础中的基础，纲领中的纲领，是包括K线技术分析、均线技术分析、趋势技术分析、量价技术分析等各种分析理论在内的所有趋势技术分析理论的源泉和根本。
第二大部分是趋势线，着重讲解趋势线、支撑线、压力线和通道的技术分析应用。这一部分内容是第一部分内容的综合反映，有着很强的实战实用性。
本书有如下特点：
（1）理论性强，溯本求源，层层深入，像寻幽访古，未知的东西太多。
（2）原则性强，是其他技术分析理论的纲领和基础。
（3）比较抽象，无论是趋势理论，还是趋势线的技术应用，都有很强的概括性。化繁为简后，结果变得简单明了，但原因和过程就略显晦涩。
基于以上特点，本书力求做到通俗易懂，并尽量为抽象的理论配上具象的图表，以利交易者阅读和理解。尽管如此，书中所涉及到的理论上、哲学上的部分内容，相对于一些初学者来说，仍然存在一定的难度。好在这并非不可解决的难题，本书以及本系列丛书的趋势基础理论知识和趋势技术分析应用，均可独立成章，交易者可以跳过理论层面上的东西，直接阅读技术分析应用的内容，不会影响趋势技术分析的完整性。等到交易者有了一定的交易技能和交易经验，回过头来再重新咀嚼那些关于“为什么”、“是什么”和“做什么”的论述，就会有一种豁然开朗的感觉。
尽管很多经验丰富的交易高手，也许说不出什么高深的道理，但理论并不因此而失去其存在的重要意义。没有一代又一代先辈大师的概括和总结，也许至今，我们都还会像婴儿一样，在摸索中学习，在学习中摸索。更何况，读懂并洞察股市的本源，对于交易者建立和完善自己所独有的交易系统大有裨益。深思才可以举一反三。

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